-
Posts
9,477 -
Joined
-
Last visited
About Timm
-
Rank
What The F*** Is Going ON?
Contact Methods
-
Website URL
http://
-
ICQ
0
Profile Information
-
Location
The Shire
-
About Me
De-Biflationist - Stuff bought with credit will go down in price, stuff bought with "cash" will go up.
Recent Profile Visitors
7,438 profile views
-
War in the Middle east, how will effect UK House prices?
Timm replied to Maghull Mike's topic in Current affairs
It's interesting that this was on Radio 4 so recently: https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m001r0tz -
Just watched this all the way through. Some interesting ideas, but man that bloke needs a script! He is essentially saying that his "best agent" data shows the asking prices of homes that have SSTC. That is interesting. He points out that LR ONS data shows completion prices, but has a lag - that is true. So he then makes the case that his price ageed data should show up in the LR ONS data as completed price data in months to come. That seems fair and logical. For the record, I think the lag is about 5 months (12 weeks to completion, one month for the first solicitors to report to LR, then the LR report comes out the following month). But Charie seems very confused about how long the lag is. His headline is that Best Agent prices in Sept will show up as sold prices in the May LR ONS report (Eight Months), so lets take that as the baseline prediction, but he also keeps shooting out other timescales and months and lags. He also gets into a terrible muddle about comparing apples with apples with LR revisions and are they average prices and the methodology. Anyway, it was thought provoking. Some comments on the vid in the OP: 3:55 He says deals are taking 5 months from price agreed to completion. I think more like 3. 8:15 He says prices agreed are likely to be 5% below asking. There is no data to support this. 9:57: "what I'm calling this 8 month delay *mumbles* 6 months *mumbles* published" 10:20 Now totally muddled about how much lag he thinks there is: "Five months, May... April... four months - MAY!" 11:05 Now its five months again! About 17:00 Now the lag is up to eight months again (Sept to May)and then straight back to seven (Feb to Sept)
-
Confused.com: House prices ‘may drop £50K’ by end of next year
Timm replied to fellow's topic in House prices and the economy
The Negotiator is the leading trade magasine for Estate Agents. As such, it will be read by most estate agents. -
The pull works both ways. Moved to London in '93 with work. Could have bought a studio, but didn't. Left in '99 because I was running a shop in Covent Garden and renting in an HMO above a chip shop in a (then) rough bit of Bush. Changed job path, started again on the bottom rung and bought a two bed in North Oxfordshire after living with parents for a year.
-
Confused.com: House prices ‘may drop £50K’ by end of next year
Timm replied to fellow's topic in House prices and the economy
Interesting source! -
Charles Edward Stuart. He's just as delusional, but hopefully will do less harm. On a serious note, Stewy may well be the poster formally known as Hamish Mctavish.
-
Yields Crumbling as rate cuts priced in
Timm replied to Stewy's topic in House prices and the economy
Looks like the 5 and 10 year gilts are still creeping back up? -
What do you want from a house price crash?
Timm replied to Orb's topic in House prices and the economy
Yes, this! However, I suspect a lot more people are going to hurt their ankles before anything is done. -
Metro Bank - It's like 2008 all over again
Timm replied to highcontrast's topic in House prices and the economy
Which begs the question: Has the culture changed since then? -
Metro Bank - It's like 2008 all over again
Timm replied to highcontrast's topic in House prices and the economy
That's funny - I thought it was £350m that they needed yesterday. Must be my memory playing tricks.