Latest posts https://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/index.php?/discover/14/House Price Crash Forum - Latest postsenUK Life expectancyAvailability, yes, but quality, at least away from the low end? There's a balance to be struck somewhere - go back in time and you have common malnutrition issues in the UK, but now there are quite a lot of people with health issues due to being overweight; it suggests a better balance was struck somewhere in between.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:09:10 +0000Feels like we're about to fall into the (financial) abyssI don't recall much debate on hpc about whether this current hpi bubble is a bull trap. Could it be one ?Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:07:50 +0000UK Life expectancyThe difficulty is putting it in to perspective - a high accident rate might well still be too low to make much impact on life expectancy numbers. I'm guessing but my guess is that whilst the chronic health consequences of working conditions might well have been quite significant on the stats outright accidents probably weren't, even though there were a lot more of them than now.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:06:54 +0000House price to "gradually deflate"So, from a non-political point of view things absolutely look ready to pop, I think, and I think you would agree: Interest rates can't go lower House prices are at an all time high with respect to wages Availability of credit governs house prices People have loaded up on massive mortgages Furlough is ending There are a lot of supply shocks Inflation is up The government has maxed-out incentives to buy like: Equity Loan (quarter mil for a newbuild in London) ZIRP 95% guaranteed mortgages etc. I mean, on the fact of it, you'd be like "OMG HPC now!!" because it's hard to imagine how a system that is right on the brink, with all the taps fully on, can go anywhere but down. But. But.... when you the the political aspect into consideration. The fact that Government, Corporate, and Residential debt is sooooo high, the fact that a Tory government is never going to rinse out the housing market (lest they be out of power for a decade or two), and the fact that because money is all created by extending loans and because the system itself is basically maxed out and we can't create enough money anymore, it really just looks like the government will do the classic inflate-out-the-debt, which obviously pours money into assets like houses, for existing owners. So, basically I see where you're coming from. But you can also perhaps see, given the above bullets, why people might at a glance - even a deep glance - why an HPC is imminent.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:05:26 +0000<![CDATA[Examples of big & multiple drops]]>From page 100, now @ 125k, so thats another 15k off since I posted last (total reduction now of 31%). Price Change History 14/09/2021 Price changed from £127,500 to £124,950 24/08/2021 Price changed from £130,000 to £127,500 19/07/2021 Price changed from £135,000 to £130,000 02/07/2021 Price changed from £140,000 to £135,000 18/06/2021 Price changed from £145,000 to £140,000 21/05/2021 Price changed from £150,000 to £145,000 05/05/2021 Price changed from £160,000 to £150,000 15/04/2021 Price changed from £170,000 to £160,000 15/03/2021 Price changed from £180,000 to £170,000 19/02/2021 Initial entry found: £180,000Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:03:56 +0000Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.While I think Macron's strop is largely electioneering, it is also clear that the global security tectonic plates are moving so as to contain and confront Xi's China. That is the only explanation for Australia to go nuclear submarine, rather than France's conventional. Of course Australia could have just said to the French make them nuclear after all, but would the Austalians really want a load of nuclear stuff largely incompatible with the USA (their major strategic partner) and the UK (their other partner in 5 eyes).Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:02:24 +0000Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?Fantastic success story on fighting COVID in India, though strangely not a lot of headlines in our wonderful mass media about it: .. I can't think why we're not hearing much about this great news 🙄. After all, back in the earlier part of this year when the Delta variant (previously called the Indian variant) was taking off there and causing a lot of problems, our media just couldn't push enough fear-porn onto our screens and pages. Now that they have effectively dealt with it, no interest. Aside from spotlighting the utter untrustworthiness of our so-called 'news' media, this highlights that even places with far less developed health systems like India are doing a much, much better job of giving treatment to people who have detectable infections by providing them with a useful pack of instruments and drugs for home treatment than our own medical systems who seem utterly unconcerned about helping infected people unless the disease progresses far enough to require hospitalisation. You'd imagine that there could be lessons learned from the success of doing the obvious and trying to help people from the moment you know they are infected instead of ignoring them until such time as their disease may have progressed to requiring hospitalisation, but apparently not .. Another amazing mystery! There just seem to be so many inexplicable things about the way that COVID has been handled ... Inexplicable that is, only if you believe that preserving public health is what is driving the Western response and not pharma profiteering and the taking advantage of a panicked public by vested interests.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 13:00:24 +0000Brexit What Happens Next Thread ---multiple merged threads.This is all a bit bonkers. Is it some bizarre backlash because France got their Afghanistan withdrawal sorted out lol?Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:54:47 +0000UK Life expectancyI haven't time to look it up,but I believe the road accident pedestrian deaths in the 1920s were horrendous. People were not used to looking out for cars when crossing the road. Also coal mining and similar jobs were really quite dangerous.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:54:36 +0000UK Life expectancyLooking at that graph, UK life expectancy stopped increasing soon after the financial crisis.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:46:31 +0000Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting interest rate predictionsYou forgot "the end of Furlough".Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:44:52 +0000Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting interest rate predictionsTHAT.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:44:29 +0000UK Life expectancyWe've got a lot taller, which is the best sign of the availability and quality of food. I'm not sure about accidents, but work places were significant less safe and there was different risk threshold of tolerance for workplace death.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:38:22 +0000Australia nuclear submarine deal: Aukus defence pact with US and UK means $90bn contract with France will be scrappedI always thought it took 3 to tango, you blame Morrisons but let off Biden and Boris, do not forget they have been negotiating in secret for monthsThu, 23 Sep 2021 12:31:36 +0000The Sun: 22 Year Old BTL Landlord.Yes I agree on this one - If I work hard and decide to give money to my kids or indeed to anyone else such as a charity I subscribe to I have already paid the tax. If you start paying tax on gifts where does it end. Maybe if I buy someone a birthday or Xmas present the recipient should be taxed as it is a gift. Or if I treat my partner to a meal of to to cinema . But the money you receive from your employer has not already been taxed.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:28:25 +0000UK Life expectancyWe all are whilst are alive.......grow old gracefully, embrace everything age can do for you.....be yourself, love yourself and do everything you want and can do whilst can do it.....Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:25:55 +0000The Sun: 22 Year Old BTL Landlord.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:25:07 +0000Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?It will remain a threat for many years to come.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:22:36 +0000UK Life expectancyI'm immortal so far.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:21:29 +0000Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?That's perfectly true. However, it was the mutual attraction between Mars and Earth that confounded Newton. Astronomers didn't really start worrying about the precession of Mercury until the late 19th century.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:14:24 +0000UK Life expectancyI doubt food's got any healthier though, more likely the opposite. Did enough people ever die in accidents to make a significant difference to the statistics (as opposed to health conditions as a result of jobs)?Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:12:51 +0000UK Life expectancyMakes sense.....three score years and ten or four score years and ten.......not what is behind you, all about the quality of life left ahead of you....Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:11:44 +0000UK Life expectancyOn what timescale? Compared to a century or two ago very definitely, but in the last few decades, whilst there are always improvements I think the lion's share had been achieved. At any rate I get the impression that infant mortality was a rare, tragic thing in post war Britain rather than the ordinary part of existence that it was to the Victorians.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:11:18 +0000Gas price crisis caused by an over reliance on wind and solar, with no adequate back-up, and will push up oil and food pricesA supermarket near me sell a big box of near have to use mixed fruit and vegetables for less than £2......close to the tills well away from the near the door fruit and veg on offer....... brilliant idea, better sold for less than placed into a bin then into landfill.....thumbs up to them.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 12:06:57 +0000The Sun: 22 Year Old BTL Landlord.Perhaps. But there is always more to these stories than meets the eye. The newspapers lay along with them because "man buys house with gifted deposit" is not so interesting. These stories also feed into the baby Boer narrative of IPhones and Abacados being the reason you can't buy houses. On this point I once had a fairly long online discussion with one such boomer who put it all down to hard work, despite paying 15% interest blah blah blah. He was open about what he earned and the prices, but when it got to the deposit, he admitted that there was no way that he could have afforded it, as it would today be well over a year's pay for him. He didn't change his mind on the whole issue, however.Thu, 23 Sep 2021 11:49:07 +0000